计算机科学 ›› 2019, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (7): 322-326.doi: 10.11896/j.issn.1002-137X.2019.07.049

• 交叉与前沿 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于时空特征挖掘的交通流量预测方法

孔繁钰1,周愉峰1,2,陈纲3   

  1. (重庆工商大学重庆市发展信息管理工程技术研究中心 重庆400067)1
    (南京航空航天大学管理科学与工程博士后流动站 南京210016)2
    (重庆大学建筑城规学院 重庆400045)3
  • 收稿日期:2018-06-29 出版日期:2019-07-15 发布日期:2019-07-15
  • 作者简介:孔繁钰(1976-),男,博士,高级工程师,主要研究领域为交通工程、复杂性网络等,E-mail:cqkfy2002@126.com(通信作者);周愉峰(1984-),男,博士,副教授,主要研究领域为应急物流与应急管理、物流系统优化研究等;陈 纲(1972-),男,博士,副教授,主要研究领域为交通运输管理等。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金(71702015),中国博士后科学基金(2017M611810),重庆市社科规划重大应用项目(2017ZDYY51),重庆市发展信息管理工程技术研究中心开放基金项目(gczxkf201706),重庆工商大学科研平台开放课题(KFJJ2018078)资助

Traffic Flow Prediction Method Based on Spatio-Temporal Feature Mining

KONG Fan-yu1,ZHOU Yu-feng1,2,CHEN Gang3   

  1. (Chongqing Engineering Technology Research Center for Development Information Management, Chongqing Technology and Business University,Chongqing 400067,China)1
    (Postdoctoral Research Station of Management Science and Engineering,Nanjing University of Aeronautics & Astronautics,Nanjing 210016,China)2
    (College of Architecture and Urban Planning,Chongqing University,Chongqing 400045,China)3
  • Received:2018-06-29 Online:2019-07-15 Published:2019-07-15

摘要: 基于神经网络和大数据的交通流量预测方法层出不穷,但对交通流量预测的精度仍有待进一步提高。为了解决该问题,提出一种基于时空特征挖掘的交通流量预测方法。该方法使用改进的CNN来挖掘交通流量的空间特征,使用递归神经网络来挖掘交通流量的时间特征,能够充分利用交通流量的每周/每天的周期性和时空特征。此外,在该方法中还使用了一种基于相关性的模型,它可以根据过去的交通流量实现自动学习。实验结果表明,相比于其他几种较新的预测方法,所提方法具有较高的交通流量预测精度。

关键词: 大数据, 改进卷积神经网络, 交通流量预测, 深度神经网络, 时空特征, 自动学习

Abstract: Traffic forecasting methods using neural networks and big data are emerging in an endless stream,but their prediction accuracy for traffic flow is usually inaccurate.In order to solve this problem,this paper proposed a traffic flow forecasting method based on spatio-temporal feature mining.This method makes use of improving convolutional neural network(CNN) to mine the spatial features of traffic flow,and utilizes recursive neural network to mine the temporal features of traffic flow,so that it can make full use of weekly/daily periodicity and spatial-temporal characteristics of traffic flow.In addition,the method also introduces a correlation-based model that can achieve automatic learning according to the past traffic flow.Experiment results show that the proposed method has higher prediction accuracy for traffic flow compared with some novel methods.

Key words: Automatic learning, Big data, Deep neural network, Improved convolutional neural network, Temporal-Spatial features, Traffic flow prediction

中图分类号: 

  • TP391
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