Computer Science ›› 2017, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (8): 162-167.doi: 10.11896/j.issn.1002-137X.2017.08.029

Previous Articles     Next Articles

Improved Influence Network Approach to Target Threat Assessment

CHEN Hui and MA Ya-ping   

  • Online:2018-11-13 Published:2018-11-13

Abstract: Target threat assessment is the key problem to be solved in the operational decision making.Aiming at the limitations of the traditional influence network only describing binary state of events,it was extended to describe N-nary state of events.Based on this,improved influence network model was established,and constraint conditions of effect parameters and conditional probability were derived.Taking the target of air defense system as an example,based on the analysis of the target threat attribute,the cloud model was used to make the qualitative and quantitative transformation of attribute value,and the target threat assessment was carried out by using the improved influence network method.Finally,the simulation example was given.The results verify the effectiveness and feasibility of the improved influence network method.

Key words: Threat assessment,Influence network,Cloud model,Air defense system

[1] LLINAS J,BOWMAN C,ROGOVA G,et al.Revisiting the JDL Data Fusion Model II [C]∥Proceedings of Seventh Internatio-nal Conference on Information Fusion.Stockholm,2004:1218-1230.
[2] LI F,LIU B,XU H F.Threat assessment of hybrid multiple attribute targets based on set pair analysis[J].Journal of Naval Aeronautical Engineering Institut,2012,27(2):219-222.(in Chinese) 栗飞,刘博,徐海峰.基于集对分析的混合型多属性目标威胁评估[J].海军航空工程学院学报,2012,27(2):219-222.
[3] WANG Y,MIAO X.Intuitionistic fuzzy perceiving methods for situation and threat assessment[C]∥International Conference on Fuzzy Systems and Knowledge Discovery.IEEE,2012:578-582.
[4] ZHANG K,WANG X,ZHANG C K,et al.Evaluating and sequencing of air target threat based on IFE and dynamic intui-tionistic fuzzy sets[J].Systems Engineering and Electronics,2014(4):697-701.(in Chinese) 张堃,王雪,张才坤,等.基于IFE动态直觉模糊法的空战目标威胁评估[J].系统工程与电子技术,2014(4):697-701.
[5] WU H,SU X Q.Threat assessment of aerial targets based on group generalized intuitionistic fuzzy soft sets[J].Control and Decision,2015,30(8):1462-1468.(in Chinese) 武华,苏秀琴.基于群广义直觉模糊软集的空袭目标威胁评估方法[J].控制与决策,2015,30(8):1462-1468.
[6] WANG Y,LIU S Y,ZHANG W,et al.Threat Assess ment Method with Uncertain Attribute Weight Based on Intuitionistic Fuzzy Multi-Attribute Decision[J].Acta Electronica Sinica,2014,42(12):2509-2514.(in Chinese) 王毅,刘三阳,张文,等.属性权重不确定的直觉模糊多属性决策的威胁评估方法[J].电子学报,2014,42(12):2509-2514.
[7] WANG G G,GUO L H,DUAN H,et al.The Model and Algorithm for the Target Threat Assessment Based on Elman-AdaBoost Strong Predictor[J].Acta Electronica Sinica,2012,40(5):901-906.(in Chinese) 王改革,郭立红,段红,等.基于Elman_AdaBoost强预测器的目标威胁评估模型及算法[J].电子学报,2012,40(5):901-906.
[8] MA S D,HAN L,GONG G H,et al.Target threat assessment technology based on cloud model[J].Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,2010,36(2):150-153.(in Chinese) 麻士东,韩亮,龚光红,等.基于云模型的目标威胁等级评估[J].北京航空航天大学学报,2010,36(2):150-153.
[9] GAO X G,LI Q Y,DI R H.MPC three-dimensional dynamicpath planning for UAV based on DBN threat assessment[J].Systems Engineering and Electronics,2014,36(11):2199-2205.(in Chinese) 高晓光,李青原,邸若海.基于DBN威胁评估的MPC无人机三维动态路径规划[J].系统工程与电子技术,2014,36(11):2199-2205.
[10] DI R H,GAO X G,GUO Z G.The ModeIing Method withBayesian Networks and Its AppIication in the Threat Assess ment Under S maII Data Sets[J].Acta Electronica Sinica,2016,44(6):1504-1511.(in Chinese) 邸若海,高晓光,郭志高.小数据集BN建模方法及其在威胁评估中的应用[J].电子学报,2016,44(6):1504-1511.
[11] ZHANG Y Y,LI B C,CUI J W.Method of Target Threat Assessment Based on Cloudy Bayesian Network[J].Computer Science,2013,40(10):127-131.(in Chinese) 张银燕,李弼程,崔家玮.基于云贝叶斯网络的目标威胁评估方法[J].计算机科学,2013,40(10):127-131.
[12] ZAIDI A K,MANSOOR F,PAPANTONI-KAZAKOS T P.Theory of Influence Networks[J].Journal of Intelligent & Robotic Systems,2010,60(3):457-491.
[13] ROSEN J A,SMITH W L.Influence Net Modeling with Causal Strengths:An Evolutionary Approach[C]∥Proceedings of the Command and Control Research and Technology Symposium.Monterey,1996:25-28.
[14] CHEN Y X,WU X Y,BU X W,et al.Simulation credibility control based on risk analysis[J].System Engineering Theory and Practice,2014,34(9):2411-2416.(in Chinese) 陈永兴,吴晓燕,卜祥伟,等.基于风险分析的仿真可信性控制[J].系统工程理论与实践,2014,34(9):2411-2416.
[15] MA Y H,ZHANG Y Z,ZHANG Y.Situation Assessment Ba-sed on Influence Net[J].Fire Control & Command Control,2014,39(6):90-93.(in Chinese) 马延豪,张耀中,张莹.基于影响网络的态势估计[J].火力与指挥控制,2014,39(6):90-93.
[16] DU Z J,CHEN C,JIANG X.Modeling and solution method of course of action based on influence net and multi-stage games with incomplete information[J].Journal of National University of Defense Technology,2012,34(3):63-67.(in Chinese) 杜正军,陈超,姜鑫.基于影响网络与不完全信息多阶段博弈的作战行动序列模型及求解方法[J].国防科技大学学报,2012,34(3):63-67.
[17] 娄寿春.面空导弹武器系统分析[M].北京:国防工业出版社,2013:50-230.
[18] ZHENG Y J,TIAN K S,CHEN G,et al.Operational Efficiency Evaluation for Anti-missile Early Warning Radar Based on Grey AHP[J].Journal of Equipment Academy,2016,27(1):111-115.(in Chinese) 郑玉军,田康生,陈果,等.基于灰色AHP的反导预警雷达作战效能评估[J].装备学院学报,2016,27(1):111-115.
[19] 李德毅,刘常昱,杜鹢,等.不确定性人工智能[M].北京:国防工业出版社,2005:137-186.

No related articles found!
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed   
No Suggested Reading articles found!