计算机科学 ›› 2014, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (Z6): 391-393.

• 数据挖掘 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于混合EHMM模型的数据流预测

丁勇,朱辉生,曹红根   

  1. 南京理工大学泰州科技学院 泰州225300;泰州学院计算机科学与技术学院 泰州225300;南京理工大学泰州科技学院 泰州225300
  • 出版日期:2018-11-14 发布日期:2018-11-14
  • 基金资助:
    本文受国家自然科学基金项目(61003001,61103009)资助

Data Flow Forecasting Based on Hybrid EHMM Models

DING Yong,ZHU Hui-sheng and CAO Hong-gen   

  • Online:2018-11-14 Published:2018-11-14

摘要: 首先提出一种改进的算法NONEPI++,用于挖掘事件序列上非重叠发生的频繁情节;然后将每个频繁情节表示为相应的情节隐马尔可夫模型EHMM,并通过最大期望算法计算模型的混合系数,从而生成一个基于历史数据流的混合模型;最后,基于该混合模型预测目标事件类型出现的概率。实验表明,混合EHMM模型能有效地预测数据流。

关键词: 事件序列,频繁情节,非重叠发生,隐马尔可夫模型 中图法分类号TP311文献标识码A

Abstract: Firstly,presented an improved algorithm NONEPI++ for mining non-overlapped frequent episodes on the event sequences.Then created a separate HMM called EHMM for each frequent episode,and computed the mixing coefficient of mix EHMM models by using expectation-maximization procedure.Finally,forecast the data stream by training history data and predict target event.Experiments show that the mixed EHMM models can effectively predict the data stream.

Key words: Event sequence,Frequent episode,Non-overlapped occurrence,Hidden Markov models

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