计算机科学 ›› 2020, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (11A): 11-17.doi: 10.11896/jsjkx.201000038

• 人工智能 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于CNN-typhoon模型的全球台风报文收集方法研究

韩瑞1,2, 顾春利3, 李哲4,5, 伍康4, 高峰1, 沈文海1   

  1. 1 中国气象局国家气象信息中心 北京 100081
    2 清华大学环境学院 北京 100084
    3 北京应用气象研究所 北京 100029
    4 清华大学精密仪器系 北京 100084
    5 北京小鹏汽车有限公司 北京 100084
  • 出版日期:2020-11-15 发布日期:2020-11-17
  • 通讯作者: 韩瑞(hanr@cma.gov.cn)
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划(2016YFA0600301);上海台风研究基金项目(重点学科领域)(TFJJ201904);国家自然科学基金项目(91744209)

Global Typhoon Message Collection Method Based on CNN-typhoon Model

HAN Rui1,2, GU Chun-li3, LI Zhe4,5, WU Kang4, GAO Feng1, SHEN Wen-hai1   

  1. 1 National Meteorological Information Center,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing 100081,China
    2 School of Environment,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084,China
    3 Beijing Institute of Applied Meteorology,Beijing 100029,China
    4 Department of Precision Instruments,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084,China
    5 Beijing Xiaopeng Automobile Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 100084,China
  • Online:2020-11-15 Published:2020-11-17
  • About author:HAN Rui,born in 1986,master,senior engineer.Her main research interests include meteorological data processing and so on.
  • Supported by:
    This work was supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(2016YFA0600301),Shanghai Typhoon Research Foundation (TFJJ201904) and National Natural Science Foundation of China(91744209).

摘要: 台风是一种高影响的强对流天气系统。台风报文资料作为提供台风初值的最初来源,对改进台风预报准确性有一定的帮助,因此做好全球台风的报文快速识别收集工作至关重要。针对现有全球台风报文实时性差、延迟高、报文被动接收的问题,本研究利用MSG,Meteosat-5,MTSAT,GOES-W,GOES-E卫星图像数据,通过训练2006年1月-2020年8月的1 351次全球热带气旋过程,共计8 983张红外卫星图像,基于深度学习算法,提出了一种CNN-typhoon模型,可以对无台风、台风生成、台风最强等3种图像进行识别分类。实验证明:CNN-typhoon模型训练集的识别精度可接近100%,验证集精度高于88.1%;同时将模型代入模拟业务,在一定时段内增加了接近31.0%的报文收集种类,报文收集时效提高了23.5倍。

关键词: 分类, 卷积神经网络(CNN), 识别, 收集, 台风报文

Abstract: Typhoon is a highly convective weather system with high impact.As the source of typhoon initial values,typhoon message data is helpful to improve the accuracy of typhoon forecasts.Therefore,it is very important to do a good job in the rapid identification and collection of global typhoon messages.Aiming at the problems of poor real-time performance,high latency,and passive message reception of global typhoon messages,this study uses MSG,Meteosat5,MTSAT,GOES-W,and GOES-E satellite 8 983 infrared satellite images of 1 351 typhoon processes from January 2006 to August 2020.Based on the deep learning algorithm,a CNN-typhoon model is proposed,which can identify and classify three types of images:no typhoon,typhoon generation,and strongest typhoon.Experiments have proved that the recognition accuracy of the CNN-typhoon model training set can be close to 100%,and the verification set accuracy is higher than 88.1%.At the same time,the model is substituted into the simulation service,and within a certain period of time,nearly 31.0% of the message collection types are increased,saving the message collection timeliness is improved by 23.5 times.

Key words: Classification, Collection, Convolutional Neural Networks, Identification, Typhoon message

中图分类号: 

  • TP183
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