计算机科学 ›› 2011, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (7): 265-267.

• 人工智能 • 上一篇    下一篇

L-M优化BP算法在短期负荷预测中的应用

代小红,王光利   

  1. (重庆工商大学计算机科学与信息工程学院 重庆400067) (重庆邮电大学生物信息学院 重庆400065)
  • 出版日期:2018-11-16 发布日期:2018-11-16
  • 基金资助:
    本文受重庆市教委科学技术研究项目(KJ090728)资助。

Application of L-M Optimized BP Algorithm in Short-term Power Load Forecast

DAI Xiao-hong,WANG Guang-li   

  • Online:2018-11-16 Published:2018-11-16

摘要: 在分析传统BP算法的不足的基础上,提出了将Levenbery-Marquard、优化法与神经网络模型相结合的L-M优化BP算法。此方法与传统算法相比学习速度得到了提高,网络的收敛加快,尽量避免了系统陷入局部最小;针对某电力局某地区的单条线路的实际数据,采用基于Levenbery-Marquardt优化的I3P算法的神经网络模型对其进行了仿真,结果表明该方法具有较高的预测精度和较强的适应能力。

关键词: 短期负荷预侧,L-M优化法,BP算法,预测误差

Abstract: Analyzing the deficiency of the traditional BP algorithm, combining Levenbery-Marquardt optimized algorithm and a neural network forecasting method, this paper put forward a L-M optimized BP algorithm, which quickens the train, improves stability and avoids trapping into local minimum. For some area power supply load of Power Corporation in somewhere, a short term load forecast was simulated based on L-M optimized BP algorithm. Analyzing the simulation results, it shows the L-M optimized BP algorithm has better forecast precision and adaptive capacity.

Key words: Short term load forecasting,L-M optimized,BP algorithm,Forecast precision

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