计算机科学 ›› 2020, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (11A): 64-67.doi: 10.11896/jsjkx.200300086

• 人工智能 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于PCANet的价值成长多因子选股模型

张宁, 石鸿伟, 郑朗, 单子豪, 吴浩翔   

  1. 中央财经大学金融学院 北京 100081
  • 出版日期:2020-11-15 发布日期:2020-11-17
  • 通讯作者: 石鸿伟(hwshifly@qq.com)
  • 作者简介:nzhang@amss.ac.cn
  • 基金资助:
    中央财经大学科研创新团队支持计划(201909);教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(16JJD790060)

PCANet-based Multi-factor Stock Selection Model for Value Growth

ZHANG Ning, SHI Hong-wei, ZHENG Lang, SHAN Zi-hao, WU Hao-xiang   

  1. School of Finance,Central University of Finance and Economics,Beijing 100081,China
  • Online:2020-11-15 Published:2020-11-17
  • About author:ZHANG Ning,born in 1978,Ph.D,professor.His main research interests include fintech and artificial intelligence.
    SHI Hong-wei,born in 1997,master.His main research interests include quantitative investing.
  • Supported by:
    This work was supported by the Program for Innovation Research in Central University of Finance and Economics(201909) and MOE Project of Key Research Institute of Humanities and Social Sciences at Universities (16JJD790060).

摘要: 作为量化投资程序中的重要组成部分,量化多因子选股模型是通过历史金融数据建模来预测股票收益,该模型中引入了包括深度学习在内的众多机器学习方法。文中则首次探究了PCANet这样一种深度架构在量化选股中的应用。具体来说,该框架一方面将金融时序数据转换为二维图像数据,从而将金融时间序列预测问题转变为图像分类问题;另一方面将PCA应用于深度架构,充分发挥其能力,同时提供了金融行业可以理解和反馈的可解释性。两年的实际数据回测表明,该方法获得了57.17%的夏普比率、16.84%的超额收益以及-18.14%的最大回撤。相比传统的线性回归模型和深度学习的CNN模型,所提基于PCANet的价值成长多因子选股模型获得了更高的超额收益和夏普比率,同时保持了继承于PCA的特征提取的解释性。

关键词: PCANet, 超额收益, 多因子选股, 夏普比率, 因子图

Abstract: As an important part of the quantitative investment program,the quantitative multi-factor stock selection model is used to predict stock returns by modeling historical financial data.This model has introduced many machine learning methods including deep learning.For the first time,the application of PCANet in quantitative stock selection has been explored.By transforming factors from financial time series data to two-dimensional image data,the financial time series prediction problem is transformed into an image classification problem,which provides a new and more open perspective.The research object is the Shanghai and Shen zhen 300 stocks from January 1,2009 to June 6,2017,which will be used for PCANet training and prediction.In the two-year backtest results,it obtains a Sharpe ratio of 57.17%,an excess return of 16.84%,and a maximum drawdown of -18.14%.Compared with the CNN model and the linear regression model,a higher Alpha return and Sharpe ratio are obtained,and the maximum retracement is smaller than that of the linear regression model.This shows that using PCANet for multi-factor stock selection is a feasible method.The application of PCANet in the multi-factor stock selection model can not only maintain the feature extraction capability of the deep learning structure,but also can effectively extract the features of the factor compared to linear regression.It will be a new direction worth trying.

Key words: Alpha return, Factor picture, Multi factor stock selection, Principal component analysis net, Sharpe ratio

中图分类号: 

  • F830.91
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