计算机科学 ›› 2026, Vol. 53 ›› Issue (6A): 250800035-4.doi: 10.11896/jsjkx.250800035

• 大数据&数据科学 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于动态图同构网络的学业表现预测模型

李凡   

  1. 中国人民警察大学信息化与网络管理处 河北 廊坊 065000
  • 出版日期:2026-06-16 发布日期:2026-06-12
  • 通讯作者: 李凡(lifan@cppu.edu.cn)
  • 基金资助:
    警察大学中青年教师科研创新计划课题(ZQN202417)

Academic Performance Prediction Model Based on Dynamic Graph Isomorphism Network

LI Fan   

  1. Information and Network Management Office,China People's Police University,Langfang,Hebei 065000,China
  • Published:2026-06-16 Online:2026-06-12
  • About author:LI Fan,born in 1998,postgraduate.His main research interest is data analysis and processing.
  • Supported by:
    Young and Middle-aged Teachers' Research Innovation Program of China People's Police University(ZQN202417).

摘要: 针对现有学业预测模型难以有效捕捉学生隐性关联、对稀疏数据敏感性高及计算冗余等问题,文中提出一种基于图同构网络的动态优化预测模型。该模型通过三重核心机制优化图结构与信息传递。首先,采用双模态融合图构建技术生成动态邻接矩阵,显著提升关系表征的鲁棒性。其次,建立参数动态自适应调整机制,通过可学习参数实现分层特征融合,有效增强模型对异构数据的适应能力。最后,引入k值动态衰减优化方法,其渐进式剪枝策略在降低计算复杂度的同时加速模型收敛。在CGPA和Grade-Class数据集上,图同构自适应优化模型分别达到73.3%和69.4%的预测准确率,与GNN等基准模型的最优性能相比,准确率分别提高了4.8%和8.3%。同时模型采用K值衰减策略缩短了训练时间,在Grade Class数据集上,改进模型比固定K值为10的模型训练时间缩短了1.7 s,有效完成了对模型计算效率与预测精度的动态优化和平衡。

关键词: 图同构网络, 双模态融合, 学业表现预测, 参数自适应, K值衰减

Abstract: To address the limitations of existing academic performance prediction models in effectively capturing implicit student relationships,exhibiting high sensitivity to sparse data,and suffering from computational redundancy,this paper proposes a dynamically optimized prediction model based on graph isomorphism network.The model optimizes graph structure and information propagation through three core mechanisms.Firstly,a bimodal fusion graph construction technique generates dynamic adjacency matrices by integrating cosine similarity and standardized Euclidean distance,significantly enhancing relational representation robustness.Secondly,a parameter self-adaptation mechanism enables hierarchical feature fusion through learnable parameters,effectively improving adaptability to heterogeneous data.Finally,a K-value decay optimization method accelerates convergence while reducing computational complexity via progressive pruning.On the CGPA and Grade-Class datasets,the proposed model achieves prediction accuracies of 73.3% and 69.4%,outperforming optimal benchmarks including GNN by 8.3% and 4.8% respectively.The K-value decay strategy further reduces training time by 1.7 seconds compared to fixed k-value models(k=10) on Grade-Class dataset,demonstrating effective balance between computational efficiency and prediction accuracy.

Key words: Graphisomorphism network, Bimodal fusion, Academic performance prediction, Parameter adaptation, K-value decay

中图分类号: 

  • TP391
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