Computer Science ›› 2013, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (12): 45-51.

Previous Articles     Next Articles

Stock Market Tracking Prediction Algorithm Based on Stream Feature Model

YAO Hong-liang,DU Ming-chao,LI Jun-zhao and WANG Hao   

  • Online:2018-11-16 Published:2018-11-16

Abstract: Because stock market volatility is of mutability and variability,and the distribution of the time series data does not follow the normal distribution,the traditional time series forecast algorithms are difficult to accurate prediction.The stock market tracking prediction algorithm based on Stream Feature Model was proposed (SFM-PG).It is builds the Bayesian networks based on correlation between stocks,selects the Markov Blanket of the target stock as its peer group,and gives a windows tracking prediction model based on the proximity between peer group,through dynamiclly updating the weight of peer group to tracking prediction,effective avoids the influence of the non-normal distribution of time series data on prediction.And then,using the sliding window to extract the feature of the time series data to formation stream feature,and extracting the stream feature model by matching with knowledge base of base,using the knowledge of stream feature model to adjust the predicted results,in order to reduce the prediction error introduced by mutability.Finally,the practicability and effectiveness are showed in the experiment on the network of plate of the Shanghai stock.

Key words: Stream feature,Stream feature model,Peer group analysis,Stock market price forecasting

[1] Hadavandi E,Shavandi H,Ghanbari A.Integration of geneticfuzzy systems and artificial neural networks for stock price forecasting[J].Knowledge-Based Systems,2010,23(8):800-808
[2] Kazem A,Sharifi E,Hussain F K,et al.Support vector regression with chaos-based firefly algorithm for stock market price forecasting[J].Applied Soft Computing,2013,13(2):947-958
[3] Yi Zuo,Kita E.Stock price forecast using Bayesian network[J].Expert Systems with Applications,2012,39(8):6729-6737
[4] Engle R F.Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity withestimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation[J].Econometrica,1982,50(4):987-1008
[5] Bollerslev T.Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity[J].Journal of Econometrics,1986,31(3):307-327
[6] Wang Ju-jie,Wang Jian-zhou,Zhang Zhe-george,et al.Stock in-dex forecasting based on a hybrid model[J].Omega,2012,40(6):758-766
[7] Kao Ling-jing,Chiu Chih-chou,Lu Chi-jie,et al.Integration of nonlinear independent component analysis and support vector regression for stock price forecasting[J].Neurocomputing,2013,99(1):534-542
[8] Vapnik V.The nature of statistical learning theory[M].New York,USA:Springer-Verlag,1995
[9] Yeh Chi-yuan,Huang Chi-wei,Lee S-J.A multiple-kernel support vector regression approach for stock market price forecasting[J].Expert Systems with Applications,2011,38(3):2177-2186
[10] Cai C X,Kyaw K,Zhang Q.Stock index return forecasting:The information of the constituents[J].Economics Letters,2012,116(1):72-74
[11] Taylor S J,Yadav P K,Zhang Yuan-yuan.The information content of implied volatilities and model-free volatility expectations:Evidence from options written on individual stocks[J].Journal of Banking & Finance,2010,34(4):871-881
[12] Kim Y,Sohn S Y.Stock fraud detection using peer group analysis[J].Expert Systems with Applications,2012,39(10):8986-8992
[13] Daly,Ronan.Learning Bayesian Networks:Approaches and Issues[J].Knowledge Engineering Review,2011,26(2):99-157
[14] Bui A T,Jun C H.Learning Bayesian network structure using Markov blanket decomposition[J].Pattern recognition Letters,2012,3(16):2134-2140
[15] Pearl J.Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems[M].Morgan Kaufmann,1988

No related articles found!
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed   
No Suggested Reading articles found!