Computer Science ›› 2024, Vol. 51 ›› Issue (11A): 231100110-6.doi: 10.11896/jsjkx.231100110

• Interdiscipline & Application • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Prediction of Spatial and Temporal Distribution of Electric Vehicle Charging Loads Based on Joint Data and Modeling Drive

GU Wei1, DUAN Jing1, ZHANG Dong1, HAO Xiaowei1, XUE Honglin1, AN Yi2 , DUAN Jie1   

  1. 1 State Grid Shanxi Electric Power Company Information and Communication Branch,Taiyuan 030000,China
    2 State Grid Shanxi Electric Power Company,Taiyuan 030000,China
  • Online:2024-11-16 Published:2024-11-13
  • About author:GU Wei,born in 1993,master.Her main research interests include computer technology and artificial intelligence.
  • Supported by:
    Science and Technology Project of State Grid Shanxi Electric Power Company(52051C230005).

Abstract: In response to the current research on charging vehicle(EV)load prediction,the accuracy of real-time prediction of charging vehicle origin-destination(OD)is not high and considers the influence of road information on users' charging behavior choices.On the data-driven side,a combination of long short-term memory(LSTM)networks and graph convolutional networks(GCN)is used to analyze the existing charging load data and realize the prediction of charging vehicle origin-destination(OD),with respect to the spatial and temporal characteristics of the OD matrix of charging vehicle trips.On the model-driven side,a combination of road information is taken into consideration to predict the OD in real time.In terms of model driving,based on the comprehensive consideration of traffic network composition,ambient temperature,real-time traffic flow and other methods,a dri-ving behavior model of electric vehicle users is established,including dynamic traffic information,mileage energy consumption of electric vehicles in various road segments in the city and user path planning,and the improved A* algorithm is used to plan driving paths for the starting and ending points of electric vehicles in accordance with the users' choices,so as to simulate the driving behavior of electric vehicle users.The improved A* algorithm is used to plan driving paths for the starting and ending points of EVs that meet the user's choice,and simulate the driving behavior of EV users.Finally,the path planning test and charging demand prediction test for different types of EVs are completed under different application scenarios.The results show that the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of charging demand are consistent with the objective demand.

Key words: Electric vehicles, Spatio-Temporal charging load forecasting, LSTM, GCN, OD matrix, Dynamic traffic information, Path planning

CLC Number: 

  • TP391
[1]CAI L,GE S D,DAI N N,et al.A review on the research progress of electric vehicle load forecasting and its interaction with power grid[J].Smart Power,2022,50(7):96-103.
[2]OBAID M,TOROK A,ORTEGA J.A comprehensive emissions model combining autonomous vehicles with park and ride and electric vehicle transportation policies[J].Sustainability,2021,13(4):4053.
[3]HU H C,TAN Z F,QIU G,et al.An overview of the development of electric vehicles[J].Electrical Application,2018,37(20):79-85.
[4]LI P,HUANG W Q,WANG X,et al.A review of joint data-and knowledge-driven artificial intelligence methods in power scheduling[J/OL].http://kns.cnki.net/kcms/detail/32.1180.TP.20230608.1043.002.html.
[5]SUO J,LI L,HE H Q,et al.Electric vehicle charging load prediction considering traffic conditions[J].Grid and Clean Energy,2022,38(10):141-147.
[6]ZHANG M X,SUN Q J,YANG X.Electric vehicle charging load prediction considering real-time interaction of multi-source information and user regret psychology[J].Grid Technology,2022,46(2):632-645.
[7]HAO N,KILMER M E,BRAMAN K,et al.Facial recognition using tensor-tensor decompositions[J].SIAM Journal on Imaging Sciences,2013,6(1):437-463.
[8]WU D,LEI S,LI Z J,et al.Electric vehicle charging load prediction model based on the integration of XGBoost and LightGBM[J].Electronic Technology Application,2022,48(9):44-49.
[9]HAN F J,WANG X H,QIAO J,et al.A review of research onnew power system load forecasting based on artificial intelligence technology[J/OL].https://doi.org/10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.221560.
[10]XING Q,CHEN Z,ZHANG Z Q,et al.Modelling driving and charging behaviors of electric vehicles using a data-driven approach combined with behavioral economics theory[J].Journal of Cleaner Production,2021,324:129243.
[11]LIN Y F,YIN K,DANG Y,et al.OD passenger demand forecasting based on spatio-temporal LSTM[J].Journal of Beijing Jiaotong University,2019,43(1):114-121.
[12]ZHANG J X,BIN K,JIANG Y Y.Cross-sectional passengerflow prediction considering spatio-temporal distribution of rail travel[J].Journal of Chongqing University of Technology(Natural Science),2022,36(6):164-171.
[13]ZHANG L J,XU C Q,WANG L L,et al.Spatial and temporal distribution prediction of electric vehicle charging load based on OD matrix[J].Power System Protection and Control,2021,49(20):82-91.
[14]CHEN Y,JIANG Y D,XU G,et al.Scale-up electric vehicle charging load forecasting[J].Electricity Demand Side Management,2022,24(5):71-77.
[15]CHENG S,ZHAO Z K,CHEN N,et al.Spatial and temporal distribution prediction of electric vehicle charging load taking into account coupling factors[J].Power Engineering Technology,2022,41(3):194-201,208.
[16]YUAN X F.Spatio-temporal prediction of electric vehicle charging load under “vehicle-station-road-network” information interaction [D].North University of Technology,2023.
[17]LIU T B.Research on vehicle path planning method based on traffic flow prediction and driving cost [D].Jilin:Jilin University,2023.
[1] LIU Yi, QI Jie. IRRT*-APF Path Planning Algorithm Considering Kinematic Constraints of Unmanned Surface Vehicle [J]. Computer Science, 2024, 51(9): 290-298.
[2] WEI Shuxin, WANG Qunjing, LI Guoli, XU Jiazi, WEN Yan. Path Planning for Mobile Robots Based on Modified Adaptive Ant Colony Optimization Algorithm [J]. Computer Science, 2024, 51(6A): 230500145-9.
[3] LI Minzhe, YIN Jibin. TCM Named Entity Recognition Model Combining BERT Model and Lexical Enhancement [J]. Computer Science, 2024, 51(6A): 230900030-6.
[4] MA Yinghong, LI Xu’nan, DONG Xu, JIAO Yi, CAI Wei, GUO Youguang. Fast Path Recovery Algorithm for Obstacle Avoidance Scenarios [J]. Computer Science, 2024, 51(6): 331-337.
[5] WANG Xu, LIU Changhong, LI Shengchun, LIU Shuang, ZHAO Kangting, CHEN Liang. Study on Manufacturing Company Automated Chart Analysis Method Based on Natural LanguageGeneration [J]. Computer Science, 2024, 51(4): 174-181.
[6] ZHAO Miao, XIE Liang, LIN Wenjing, XU Haijiao. Deep Reinforcement Learning Portfolio Model Based on Dynamic Selectors [J]. Computer Science, 2024, 51(4): 344-352.
[7] HE Jiaojun, CAI Manchun, LU Tianliang. Android Malware Detection Method Based on GCN and BiLSTM [J]. Computer Science, 2024, 51(4): 388-395.
[8] SUN Didi, LI Chaochao. Dynamic Path Planning Algorithm for Heterogeneous Groups in Aircraft Carrier Aviation SupportOperations [J]. Computer Science, 2024, 51(3): 226-234.
[9] CAO Yongsheng, LIU Yang, WANG Yongquan, XIA Tian. Online Electric Vehicle Charging Algorithm Based on Carbon Peak Constraint [J]. Computer Science, 2024, 51(3): 265-270.
[10] WANG Ziyang, WANG Jia, XIONG Mingliang, WANG Wentao. Intelligent Penetration Path Based on Improved PPO Algorithm [J]. Computer Science, 2024, 51(11A): 231200165-6.
[11] WANG Yuhan, MA Fuyuan, WANG Ying. Construction of Fine-grained Medical Knowledge Graph Based on Deep Learning [J]. Computer Science, 2024, 51(11A): 230900157-7.
[12] AN Yang, WANG Xiuqing, ZHAO Minghua. Mobile Robots' Path Planning Method Based on Policy Fusion and Spiking Deep ReinforcementLearning [J]. Computer Science, 2024, 51(11A): 240100211-11.
[13] XIANG Heng, YANG Mingyou, LI Meng. Study on Named Entity Recognition of NOTAM Based on BiLSTM-CRF [J]. Computer Science, 2024, 51(11A): 240300148-6.
[14] CAO Weikang, LIN Honggang. IoT Devices Identification Method Based on Weighted Feature Fusion [J]. Computer Science, 2024, 51(11A): 240100137-9.
[15] LI Cheng’en, ZHU Dongjun, HE Jieyan, HAN Lansheng. Intelligent Penetration Path Planning and Solution Optimization Based on Reinforcement Learning [J]. Computer Science, 2024, 51(11): 329-339.
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed   
No Suggested Reading articles found!